Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.437598 0.517554 0.606672 0.713173 0.836792 0.975560 1.142935
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.337332 0.445395 0.578259 0.752812 0.975191 1.248038 1.607085
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.254523 0.367188 0.516997 0.729062 1.019511 1.401049 1.937431
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.212091 0.329276 0.495465 0.745460 1.108423 1.611892 2.357653
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.180561 0.299092 0.476968 0.759074 1.189784 1.815689 2.784860
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.151769 0.266951 0.449044 0.752141 1.236494 1.970474 3.152997
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.129957 0.241654 0.426916 0.749235 1.286090 2.130977 3.541522
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.117886 0.230463 0.425391 0.778150 1.387644 2.379282 4.087229
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.115954 0.236754 0.453838 0.860218 1.584699 2.797215 4.941400
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.106589 0.227556 0.453355 0.890851 1.695908 3.082165 5.599275
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.093206 0.208295 0.431612 0.879686 1.731014 3.239481 6.051973
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.078698 0.184275 0.397370 0.840312 1.709409 3.294079 6.327656
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.066553 0.163603 0.367657 0.807545 1.699613 3.374393 6.667645
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.062601 0.160423 0.373381 0.846858 1.834123 3.733622 7.553463
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.053611 0.143984 0.348567 0.819389 1.831963 3.833761 7.960167
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049271 0.137873 0.345392 0.837467 1.924368 4.123787 8.754602
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.045214 0.131724 0.341201 0.852592 2.011754 4.410794 9.565915
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.040235 0.122241 0.327782 0.844863 2.048477 4.597556 10.190162
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.036122 0.114311 0.316931 0.841624 2.094459 4.806786 10.876517
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.034248 0.112324 0.320639 0.873825 2.224177 5.203695 11.986011
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.035227 0.118832 0.347059 0.965172 2.500193 5.937555 13.866190
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.033465 0.116802 0.350672 0.999251 2.643524 6.391157 15.172983
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.029981 0.108778 0.336939 0.986830 2.673114 6.593353 15.943168